Based on his write up, it appears Aaronâs option doesnât have to be exercised until the start of the regular season. This differs from most option bonuses which usually have to be exercised at the start of the league year (March). This works out in the Packers favor as, whoever controls Rodgers rights when the regular season starts has to pay the option, not the team that controls his rights in March, April, June or any other date. So instead of trying to trade the player (Rodgers in this case) at the beginning of the league year, the Packers have the option of doing it then, at or during the draft or after June 1 when they can spread out his cap hit, while not being on the hook for the $58.3M option bonus due in September 2023. Jasonâs numbers giving the dead cap and cap hit on his web site arenât correct as they relate to Rodgers, but thatâs only because Rodgersâ option bonus is âoddâ.
As a result, if the Packers were to trade Rodgers before June 1, they would incur a dead cap hit of $40.3M and would only be on the hook for an additional cap charge from trading Rodgers of $8.7M.
If they trade Rodgers after June 1, they could spread that cap hit out with only a $15.8M charge in 2023 and a $24.5M charge in 2024 (same total of $40.3M). They would also free up almost $16M in 2023 (instead of having a $8.7M cap hit).
So yes, if the Packers decide to move on from Rodgers, a trade is really quite doable for them.
I think the failed Russell Wilson and Matt Ryan experiments â and even Stafford year 2 â pour cold water on this from happening.
Rodgers also has wear and tear, and heâs become a bit of a head case. And as the Rams have learned, if your offensive line has injury issues, these old boys arenât very nimble and fall apart quick.
And Carson Wentz, and Phillip Rivers, and Favre, and well, everytime except probably Joe Montana, Peyton Manning andâŚummmâŚwellâŚthe best you should expect is some kind of Warren Moonish or Carson Palmery couple years of juuuust getting the last drop out of the ketchup bottle type successâŚbefore abject collapse.
It will be very interesting to see what happens with Wilson and Rodgers this off season. Wilson has been such a monumental failure I canât see how he shows up to the team or goes into next year. He has been bullied very much on the internet which I get, but he also seems to have lost respect from his own team which is really tough to ever come back from (see Matt Patricia).
Rodgers⌠I dunno. As much as I dislike him I think the packers also did him wrong. That whole saga over the last couple years has been really weird and I donât know what to make of it⌠but I think heâs gotta be on his way out of GB one way or another now
There was a post by @DeadStroke recently that Rodgerâs contract isnât the trade hinderance that many think it is. It was his thoughts and some info he brought from another source iirc.
I think you are talking about my post that is six spots above yours. Yes, trading Rodgers for the Packers is really easy to do.
The other side of the equation is what the acquiring team will have. Rodgers would be due cash of $59.5M in 2023 and $49.3M in 2024 and if you kept him for both years, youâd have cap hits of $15.8M (2023), $32.5M (2024) and $60.5M dead cap (2025). An acquiring team would be on the hook for this contract plus whatever it would take to get him from GB. But if you really think Rodgers can get you to the Super Bowl, $15.8M cap hit in 2023 is doable and even a 2nd year of $32.5M . . . future be damned. Indy?? SF?? NYG?? CAR?? I donât know. Manning, Eli, Big Ben, Rivers, Brees - all really stunk their last season in NFL (Brady is the exception, still playing well). Wilson, Wentz, Ryan are all cautionary tales.
The Stafford trade has been characterized as win-win: The Rams have Super Bowl Memories to warm them as they enter an era of nuclear winter, and the Lions got Goff and picks including this yearâs supersized first round pick.
But I contend itâs a win-win-win due to unintended consequences. What followed The Trade was the Russell Wilson/Denver abomination. That will suppress the return the Packers might get for Rodgers in any 2023 trade because the comparison of prickly, unloved, talented but aging QBs is hard to avoid.