Do the Lions (and fans) need to transition draft strategy?

And that brings up the question, what is “equal”? It’s almost a certainty that at #6 the BPA will be a QB or possibly a WR or DE? How far is it OK to ignore a ranking and “reach” in the event this is the case? 2 spots, 3 spots…6 spots? Carter and Anderson are gone at #6, no one offers a trade, who do you take?

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There is close to zero chance that a QB will be the best player available.

To consider Will Levis a better and more pro ready player than Bijan, Gonzalez, Branch, Addison, Johnston, Paris Jones would be blasphemy….

The thing is…. Houston, Seattle, Vegas, Indy, Carolina, Atlanta, Tennessee, Washington, Baltimore, Tampa Bay, Saints, Giants, and Jets have literally NOTHING worth discussing at the QB position…that’s not even counting Pittsburgh, New England, or Denver where it looks bleak…

That is 13 teams with terrible QB options… or no starting QB signed at all for 2023…

Lamar- 45M APY (likely Baltimore)
Geno- 30M APY (likely Seattle)
D Jones- 30M APY (likely Giants)
Carr- 30M APY (likely Jets)
Brady- 30M (likely Vegas?)

You still have 8 teams left, many not near the top of the draft…. So yes, out of importance and need there will be 4 QBs taken top 15 for almost certain….

  • here is interesting question…. Would Stroud or Levis even be considered top 3 QBs in the NCAA if they returned this year? Making that leap to top 10 in the NFL is steep…. It’s pretty clear teams don’t want 1-4-17 overall types (See Goff in LA or Carr)- it’s a fact that in order for any of these guys to “make it” - there is an equal an opposite reaction…. It will mean that Herbert, Tua, Mac Jones didn’t right?

At some point teams will realize if they draft elite defenders, WRs and a great OL, then lots of QBs can win playoff games. It’s funny that the Jets will likely turn to the guy the Raiders turned their back on… the Raiders will possibly reach for 46 year old Tom Brady despite his efforts with a solid D this year. The Panthers will take a project QB and let their defense age and dissipate while waiting for the QB to develop.

I truly doubt any of these guys are more impactful that Mac Jones in their first 2 years….

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So then none of the teams behind us should even consider a QB. Pro ready has zero to do with QB’s being the most impactful player on the field. Very few teams picking them in the top 6 have much expectation that year one is going to be pretty. Would you rather have the 8th best QB in the NFL in a season or two or the #1 CB in the NFL?

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Is it just me or am I seeing a trend on this board that people are starting to under value good QB play?

That’s pretty obvious no?

However I think…

There are at least 8-10 guys that will make staking that claim quite difficult. We at at year number 3 for Wilson, Lance, Fields, and Mac Jones…. Without Fields shoulder breaking heroics playing Wildcat RB, one have scratched the top 15-16….

Mahomes
Burrow

Allen
Lamar
Lawrence
Herbert
Stafford
Goff
Dak
Cousins
Rodgers
Murray

It’s gonna be tough for one of these guys to jump that group in a year or 2…. If they do, that means you can maybe start adding Murray and possibly even Herbert to the flame outs list.

That’s not the discussion though, it’s obviously a risk vs reward situation. If you hit it’s huge. The discussion also included WR and DE. You can’t just throw out some failures at QB and eliminate them from the discussion. We HAVE a good QB, we HAVE a first round WR and depth, we HAVE one of the best DE’s in the NFL and depth, this is the discussion. ONE of these 3 positions is likely to be BPA not only at 6 but also a couple picks beyond, who would you take if Carter and Anderson are gone, THAT’s the discussion.

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