I personally think heâs been one of the most overrated WRs in recent memory. A really good player, but Iâve seen him ranked among the top 5 for a half decade. Often listed among guys who are at least a tier above him.
I will never agree with this perspective. Picks donât degrade in value over time
I think we think that the â27 draft will be special, but Burks wasnât drafted in â27, he was drafted in â22 which wasnât all that special outside the top half of the first round.
The Lions traded Stafford for two firsts. The second one turned out to be much more valuable than the first despite delayed gratification
You may disagree, but thatâs how the league views it⌠Which is why you have to give up a higher pick in the following draft to get a lower pick in the current draft⌠3rd for a 4th to draft Manu for example
If you look you will see that those trades are rare. So the league doesnât really view it that way, otherwise those trades would be more common. What the league views is that they are going to charge premiums for current assets if they are getting future assets in return and outside of late round picks, most teams also view these as bad trades and wonât pay that price
From what Iâve seen, the most excess value most teams will trade (other than the Lions) is a future 4th for a current 5th. I do not think will you find many (other than the Lions), possibly any, trades in this decade where teams gave up more excess value than that, and even those trades are fairly rare. Only a handful of them since 2020. So the most teams (other than the Lions) may sacrifice is the equivalent of a future 5th round pick, or one spot late in the first round, to gain the time premium.
Iâm sry, but thatâs just not true⌠A 1st round pick now is more valuable than a 1st round pick in 2 years⌠The coach and GM may not even be there in 2 yearsâŚ
Thatâs what helps spread out the cap hits to future years through the use of void years. If Brownâs contract expires, the Patriots will have a $53M cap hit in 2030, when Brown isnât even under contract.