I could easily throw out 8-9 or even 10-7 as I can see it being possible, but I truly believe in a 7 win floor.
I think Goff was a better college QB than Stafford. I think he was the more sought after prospect coming out as a team traded up big in a loaded draft class for him. I think many forget how divided fans were between A Curry, J Smith, and Butt Fumble- Stafford was ranked #5-7 overall prospect in every ranking, but our need and positional value made him a logical choice.
I know Goff has been a better Pro and winner thus far through 5 years in NFL. I know this will get the Stafford fan boys in a twit, but multiple pro bowls, multiple 100 rating seasons, and multiple playoff wins are all things Goff has done in 5 years and Stafford has not in. “12!”
Does anyone question this FACT?
Decker- fully healthy, entering his prime, coming off his best season, and has most continuity he’s had next to him with Jackson and Ragnow along the left side with him. I bet the Buckeye connection between he and Jackson helps too.
Jackson- solid rookie year and improved the whole way. He’s sandwiched between a borderline pro bowl and a budding All Pro
Ragnow- best center in league for next 4-6 years.
Big V- bad signing, but has to know it’s make or break and now he’s back to his natural position and not part of a revolving door on the right side. Now he’s sandwiched between an All Pro center and what many expect to be a pro bowl RT
Sewell- size, power, athleticism down field. Can you imagine screens with Sewell and Hock blocking downfield!
- we easily have the best OL the Lions have had since 1990!
Swift had 10 tds 900 total yards in 13 games. Consider he had 114 total yards and no tds the first 3 weeks and oddly missed 3 games with a concussion during the firings etc. so in the 10 games he actually got articulated in he had about 80 yards and 1 td per game.
Combine him with a perfect compliment in J Williams. Young, not too much wear and tear, and seemed to relish and cheer for a timeshare with AJones in GB.
Kerryon and Jermar Jefferson- I predict either Kerryon is done and getting cut, or he beats out Jefferson this year and Jefferson goes to PS. Many quietly like Jefferson as a really productive sleeper. Either way we will have as decent RB
- that and all will be running behind a cohesive and talented OL
TE- what else is there to say? Hock is an ascending pro bowler that is about to play with a more accurate passer who throws a more catchable ball. Especially seems and short to middle range passes, Goffs touch and hint less zip will help guys run after the catch and hold onto the ball better in my opinion.
Hill is a great inline blocker and could be an H Back in short yardage. Clearly defined role vs us forcing James onto field in order to justify his salary.
Trey Flowers healthy vs missing 11 starts last year.
Romeo Okwara is back with his brother, happy with his contract (took a hometown discount) and coming off top 10 sack and pressure season despite very few pass rush scenarios given how infrequently we caused 3rd and long.
M Brockers- anyone want to advocate from skill, leadership and athleticism he’s not a MASSIVE upgrade over snacks in 19’ or Shelton in 20’? He’s the best DT we’ve had done 18’ Snacks without a doubt.
L Onzuwurike/A McNeill- I truly expect both to massively outperform N Williams and Penisini-
Williams/Penisini- Williams pay cut and added competition could produce the incentive to play like he did in Chicago in 2019. The added talent around him, and time to improve as a pro could help Penisini be more effective in less snaps than he was when forced into duty last year.
C Harris and J Okwara- these are new faces to our team. A former first rounder who had 3 sacks last year in 27% snap share. He was drafted in a Miami right as they started burning the team down to rebuild. J Okwara was the more highly recruited and athletic brother. Let’s hope he’s 75% as good as his bro Romeo. I could see a combined 6 sacks here easily.
Bottom line- we have a better scheme, better leadership, and DL coach was there coaching Yannick, Fowler, M Jackson, and Campbell as the DC when they almost made the SB a few years ago.
Jarrad Davis was okay in his 25% snap count
Tavaii was literally as bad as you can get at 52%
Collins was decent to good but missed 2 games
C Jones another 40s PFF guy with 50% snaps
Collins hoping same player better scheme?
Anzalone played similarly to Davis and played higher snap percentage while being selected for this scheme
JRM- a guy once expected to be a 2nd round pick. He had 10 tackles in a 3% snap count and a north of 50pff. As a rookie (coming off injury mind you) he had north of a 68 PFF rating in 22% snaps. Over a full season he’d have projected around 90 tackles, 2-3 sacks etc. it’s interesting he was one of the first guys DC and Holmes targeted and signed. AT 2.5M AND 1.75M I THINK THEY EXPECT EITHER JRM OR ANZALONE TO BE A SOLID FULL TIME STARTER.
Then add in Shaun Deion Hamilton and rookie Derrick Barnes. Both 235 pound plus guys with some speed, both proved decent blitz wrs in college as well. Hamilton has had a few sacks in NFL and quite a few tackles given modest snap share.
- I could see us adding one more veteran LB cheap after next round of cuts too…
MY POINT IS OUR SCHEME WILL BE BETTER PERIOD. EVEN IF WE DONT HAVE ONE, OUR CULTURE WAS SO NEGATIVE GUYS WANTED TO LEAVE. IM BETTING HALF OUR INJUROES LAST YEAR WERE GUYS WHO WERENT RISKING THEIR BODIES ON THST SINKING SHIP
The secondary is the most interesting.
Walker was an 89 and 73 PFF player his first 2 years, then came the dumpster fire. Fatty Patty cast away Slay and Diggs and brought in Harmon and Trufant. Needless to say we took massive backwards strides with BOTH!
Okudah was a unanimously supported player as a top 5-7 overall pick at CB, and labeled the best in years. Combine that with the regression from guys like Walker and I’m putting my money on a huge rebound from Okudah this year under Glenn
I see Walker and Okudah playing much closer to Lattimore and M Jenkins that they played last year.
- Dunbar has proven a stud as recently as 2019. He’ll even in an injured abs down year last year he was better than Trufant 38.2, or Coleman 47 PFF…
I will take Okudah, AO and Dunbar on a prove it deal under Glenn all day over what we had last year!
Lastly- I predict we either see a FS signing like Tre Boston or M Hooker to supplement Harris and Walker, OR I SEE MELIFONWU POSSUBLY MOVING TO FS! RANGY KID AT 6’2” plus and 205 with 4.4 speed and ball skills- hmmm…
SO HERE WE ARE- yes our WR room is bad.
M Jones- 978
Total- 2,740 yards WR
H Bryant- 44
Total- 893 yards TE
Total- 635 yards RB
- there are your 4,200 plus yards-
NOW CONSIDER AMMENDOLA, KG, M JONES, AP, HALL AND SANU WERE ALL ON LAST YEAR OF THEIR CONTRACTS IN 20’…
Hock- 875 yards
J Hill- 170 yards
TE3- 80 yards
Total TE- 1,125 yards
Swift- 500 yards
J Williams- 250 yards
Kerryon/RB3- 150 yards
Total RB- 900 yards
Tyrell Williams- 650 yards
B Perriman- 550 yards
Q Cephus- 500 yards
Amon-Ra- 400 yards
WR5- (Surratt/Allison/FA)- 200 yards
Total 2300 yards WR
I see 4,300 yards passing behind this OL with an improved run game.
The 1800 yards we got from M Jones, KG and Ammendola won’t be as hard to replace as people think.
PS- I wouldn’t rule out trading a pick for a WR1 or even a decent cap cut signing. Golden Tate the adult has the juice left to replace Ammendola.