If You Build A Better Mousetrap Or Scoring System For The Den Draft Prediciton Contest

Here is my proposal:

Part 1: Players

Pick up to ten players the Lions will draft.

  • If we get them on Day 1, you get 10 points.
  • Day 2, 20 points.
  • Day 3, 30 points.

Any player listed who gets drafted by someone else counts against you:

  • Day 1, -1 point
  • Day 2, -3 points
  • Day 3, -5 points

Part 2: Trades

Pick up to 3 trade scenarios. Name the day the trade occurs (or not), and whether we will trade up on that day, down on that day, or not trade on that day. If your scenario is correct, you get 10 points. If your scenario is wrong, you lose 10 points.

Part 3: Tiebreakers

In the event of a tie, the following tiebreakers will be applied until the tie no longer exists.

  1. Pick the total number of players we draft this year.
  2. Your highest drafted player has the highest draft number (14 being higher than 17, for example.)
  3. Popular vote: if a tie still exists, a 24-hour poll on the Den determines the winner.
  4. If a tie still exists, the “prize” will be shared.
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Let’s just focus on what’s important:

That one guy with a draft “crush” (i.e. he posted at least one time about some guy that might be worth considering) that kills it on another team.

That poster gets to be insufferable for at least 3 years.

3 Likes

Wow.
In practice, KISS is really hard to do!
It really doesn’t matter, lets just have some fun.

2 Likes

Yes, it really doesn’t matter who wins. It’s just the start for a mosh pit of smack and strutting. Let’s do this!!!

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I am all for the KISS method but if another idea is needed this is my idea.

pick 3 players per rd.

  1. Gets you 3pts
  2. Gets you 2pts
  3. Gets you 1 pt.

Thats for each round. Get the player and round right get double points.

Keep it simple.

Everyone makes a list of say 15 or 20 prospects. One of those prosoects is nominated as a SuperPick which is worth 3 points if the Lions draft him, and one is nominated as a DoublePick which is worth 2 points if the Lions draft him. Every other correct Lions draft pick is worth 1 point.

You could also do the same as above and have people designate a round with the prospect, awarding an extra point if the round is correct.

The Lions have eight picks.
So have each person pick 8 players.

If any of your 8 players hits in the first round, you get 1 point. If they hit in the second round, you get 2 points, and so on…7th round gets you 7 points.

edit - corrected # of lions picks.

  • Removes most of the problems with Brad’s trading tendency
  • Removes Problems with ‘positions’-- DE/Edge/LB, LB/NB, slot/S, cb/db.
  • Rewards later round picks which are harder
  • Discourages putting all first rounders down
  • Very easy to score – truly KISS
  1. Everyone picks a player for the Lions at each of their current draft picks: #17, 50,118, 128, 157,181, 205, 213, 222.

  2. At each original Lions pick–whether the Lions or another team makes the pick–If you’re right, you get zero. Zero is a good score. If you’re not right, find out where that player was selected, and you score the difference. For instance, you pick player A at #118 and player A is drafted at #131 or 105 by the Lions or anyone else, then you would score 13 .

  3. Add up your score from each of the 9 original draft slots. The lowest total score wins.

  4. If a player you selected ends up as an UDFA, count them as #258 for scoring purposes.

This is KISS, requires 3rd grade math skills, rewards depth of draft knowledge, makes late round picks relevant rather than lottery tickets, and eliminates the chaotic influence of Brad’s trades.

Any suggestions?

you mean my second grade math skills won’t cut it?

its interesting, but different. So its really not about the lions picks, its about the players who are picked closest to the original lion’s draft slots. For this contest, I’d probably pick different players than who I thought that the lions might pick. i’d probably just go to the Beast and pick whoever was ranked 17th, 50th, 118th, etc.

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That might reward you and be a successful tactic. .

That tactic would not reward me at all. My picks at 222, 213, AND 128 are all UDFAs according to Dane’s mock draft. I would definitely lose. I know I’m way over my consensus skis at 128, but I love that pick like Brad loved Manu.

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