This. Because even if you turn it over on downs the Viking were going to have a hard time killing the clock from where they were at.
Going for it basically meant you would get a chance to win the game on offense. Punting would have probably been the end of the game and a likely FG victory for the Vikes.
Actually⦠you did⦠when you cited that āanalyticsā gave the Lions a very specific 4% better chance to beat the Browns by going for a 4th down with an UDFA that has looked terrible actually trying to play the game (and is certainly more likely to throw an INT than lead a TD drive in the redzone⦠analytically speaking)⦠even though an overwhelming amount of the data was gathered when a real starting caliber NFL QB was taking the snaps.