I know the Trade Deadline is still 60+ days away. But I am seeing a good chunk of people saying “World Series or Bust”
Yes this team is good enough they COULD do it, but I am not confident enough to say that. Many of the guys are starting to come back down from their career/ 5 year highs. Some injuries are trickling in.
All that solidifies the fact they need to make MOVES before the deadline. And they have plenty of money. But will Chris spend?
I went back and looked at the final 4 teams from 2004-2024. And looked at their payroll vs the MLB average and tax cap. And there is a clear trend.
Gold is WS champ.
Silver is WR Runner Up.
Blue is AL Runner Up.
Red is NL Runner Up.
Also included are the 4 current favorites for the WS.
LAD, NYY, PHI, DET.
In the far top right box is the super spenders. (Ie LAD this year) i never expect the Tigers to EVER get to that point.
The second box is the Mike Illitch box. He got into that box a few times, “spending like a drunken sailor” i dont expect the Tigers to get there either.
The 3rd box is the sweet spot. Most of the final 4 teams and WS winners fall into that box. Above average but below the tax limit.
Then theres the last box. The money ball teams. With no WS winners. And the current Tigers.
In my opinion, the tigers need to make some trades. And that 2nd box is the target. ~$175m
Meaning the Tigers have $30m available to them.
Aka, a good reliever, and another Bat.
No excuses this trade deadline to make those kind of moves.
Also makes me wish that MLB had a hard Salary cap of ~$180m