Melton was electric last night against a really good hitting team. It seems like he gets better with every start.
Future ace!
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Montero has been a rock in relief. He hasnāt given up a run since the switch. If we only had a true shutdown closer to go with him our bully would look dramatically different.
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I think a nice little Flaherty for Paredes could be a good trade
Houston gets the pitching they need and we get a 3B
(I chose Flaherty because he is only signed through this year and of the options from the pitching he would be easiest to replace)
We could then trade a prospect for Minter for the Bullpen
We fix 3b and help with the bullpen with trading Flaherty and a prospect
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One thing to be worried about Paredes is he is the most extreme pull hitter in the major leagues as far as home runs go which is what youāre getting him for.
If you take a look at his 2026 home run spray chart in Figure 2 and the dimensions of Comerica Park in figure 1, heās going to lose for sure three of those home runs. The shortest one down the line is 314 ft and the two short ones in left / left Center are at 330 and 335, while the two that are offset next to them to their left even closer to left field are at 350 and 355 which are iffy.
Not every game is going to be in Comerica Park but the point stand that he plays in a very Homer friendly ballpark down the left field line which is why the Astros got him in the first place, and he has done this type of spray chart every single year in his career. Just a buyer beware kind of thing. Iām not saying I wouldnāt do the deal because now all of a sudden we look like we have too much starting pitching and not enough Third Base so I get it and heās right-handed so I double get it.
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In 2024 they were in a similar spot
also it wasnt so much the tigers played well (that helped) it was that the Twins fell apart. They went 12-28 down the stretch.
Thats what the tigers need in the last 1/4 of the season. Other teams to implode. Not counting on that again
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There is a HUGE difference between being 10 games back with 44 games remainingā¦. and 4 games back with 70 games left.
Tigers have 70 games remaining right now.
In 2024, they had 44 games left.
They went 31-13 in their final 44 games!!!
That is a .700 winning percentageā¦ or a 114-game pace!
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I donāt believe you. Put it in a spreadsheet or it isnāt real.
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Yea the Twins went 0.300 and tigers went 0.700 BOTH had to happen for the tigers to make it.
And a few other teams have fell apart to like Seattle.
Tigers need to go 0.600+ for the rest of the year
AND have TEX, MIN, HOU to go <0.520
AND have TOR, BOS, BAL, to go <0.550
If all 7 of those things dont happen, tigers miss the playoffs
The Tigers had 44 games leftā¦ and were 10 games backā¦ for the WILD CARD.
They have 70 games left this seasonā¦ are 5.5 games out of 1st place. They can easily win the DIVISION.
This is NOT similar.
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Correct, Tigers talent wise in the field and SP can match up with the teams in the division if not be superior to them. The injuries and pen killed this team in May, killed them.
What needs to happen for tigers to get in
Tigers were 9 out of the WC and 13 from the division with 70 to go in 2024.
Not only did the tigers play lights out the rest of the way.
Seattle, Boston, KC and Minnesota all COLLAPSED going under 500 the rest of the year,
If just one of those teams one 1-2 more games in
that stretch tigers would have missed the playoffs.
But the reality is that IT DID HAPPENā¦and the Tigers DID MAKE THE PLAYOFFS. I mean would you use the same disclaimer for last year?? If the Tigers donāt collapse the Tribe donāt win the division??
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Yea tigers collapsed. I mean they came back to earth.
They had a ~120 game run last 60 of 24 first 60 of 25. Where they went like 0.700.
The other ~300 games the last 3 years? 0.500 or worse.
Whats more believable. The tigers are the 0.500 team 2/3 of the time. Or that 1/3 of the time at 0.700.
JONES IS GONE Hallelujah
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Iām not sure why 2024 stats are the focus here for half the American League, but the only thing I am comparing is the number of games left in 2026 to the 44 games that were left in 2024 when they made that run.
It doesnāt take any kind of miraculous run this season.
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The Tiger odds have drastically improved for this playoff runā¦
Again I tell you
Jamai Jones has been DFAād
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Funny thing i was gonna make a reply earlier about i wonder if Valencia gets called up and boom there it is.
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Weāll be leading the division by mid August! Laugh at me later or not
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