Top 100 according to NextGen Stats

“How Next Gen Stats Grading Works”
The Next Gen Stats grade is calculated by complex algorithms based on a combination college production and athleticism. Prospects are graded as Elite (90-100), Good (75-90), Average and Below Average (no Average or Below Average athletes are listed below).

Name Position/School NextGen
Breece Hall RB • Iowa State 99
Evan Neal OT • Alabama 99
Tyler Linderbaum C • Iowa 99
Aidan Hutchinson DE • Michigan 95
Sauce Gardner CB • Cincinnati 93
Derek Stingley Jr. CB • LSU 92
Jameson Williams WR • Alabama 92
Kayvon Thibodeaux EDGE • Oregon 92
Charles Cross OT • Mississippi State 91
Ickey Ekwonu OT • N.C. State 91
Kyle Hamilton SAF • Notre Dame 90
Matt Corral QB • Mississippi 89
Nakobe Dean LB • Georgia 89
Damone Clark LB • LSU 88
Dax Hill SAF • Michigan 88
Jaquan Brisker SAF • Penn State 88
Treylon Burks WR • Arkansas 88
Zion Johnson G • Boston College 88
Drake London WR • USC 87
Garrett Wilson WR • Ohio State 87
Devin Lloyd LB • Utah 86
George Karlaftis EDGE • Purdue 86
Trevor Penning OT • Northern Iowa 85
Trey McBride TE • Colorado State 85
Chris Olave WR • Ohio State 84
David Ojabo EDGE • Michigan 84
Isaiah Likely TE • Coastal Carolina 84
Jordan Davis DT • Georgia 84
Kenny Pickett QB • Pittsburgh 84
Kenyon Green G • Texas A&M 84
Trent McDuffie CB • Washington 84
Cole Strange G • Tennessee-Chattanooga 83
Greg Dulcich TE • UCLA 83
Kaiir Elam CB • Florida 83
Channing Tindall LB • Georgia 82
DeMarvin Leal DT • Texas A&M 82
Jahan Dotson WR • Penn State 82
Leo Chenal LB • Wisconsin 82
Marcus Jones CB • Houston 82
Sam Howell QB • North Carolina 82
Andrew Booth CB • Clemson 81
Cade Otton TE • Washington 81
Christian Harris LB • Alabama 81
David Bell WR • Purdue 81
Jalen Tolbert WR • South Alabama 81
Jermaine Johnson II DE • Florida State 81
Dylan Parham G • Memphis 80
John Metchie WR • Alabama 80
Joshua Ezeudu G • North Carolina 80
Malik Willis QB • Liberty 80
Travon Walker DE • Georgia 80
Wan’Dale Robinson WR • Kentucky 80
Desmond Ridder QB • Cincinnati 79
Kenny Walker III RB • Michigan State 79
Khalil Shakir WR • Boise State 79
Kyler Gordon CB • Washington 79
Arnold Ebiketie EDGE • Penn State 78
Bernhard Raimann OT • Central Michigan 78
Charlie Kolar TE • Iowa State 78
George Pickens WR • Georgia 78
Jamaree Salyer G • Georgia 78
Kennedy Brooks RB • Oklahoma 78
Roger McCreary CB • Auburn 78
Sam Williams EDGE • Mississippi 78
Tyler Allgeier RB • BYU 78
Tyler Smith OT • Tulsa 78
Aaron Hansford LB • Texas A&M 77
Daniel Faalele OT • Minnesota 77
Devonte Wyatt DT • Georgia 77
Isaiah Spiller RB • Texas A&M 77
Jalen Wydermyer TE • Texas A&M 77
James Cook RB • Georgia 77
Justyn Ross WR • Clemson 77
Skyy Moore WR • Western Michigan 76
Tyler Badie RB • Missouri 76
Abram Smith RB • Baylor 76
Boye Mafe EDGE • Minnesota 76
Brian Robinson RB • Alabama 76
Chasen Hines C • LSU 76
Dameon Pierce RB • Florida 76
Jalen Pitre SAF • Baylor 76
Nick Petit-Frere OT • Ohio State 76
Pierre Strong RB • South Dakota State 76
Tré Turner WR • Virginia Tech 76
Zamir White RB • Georgia 76
Abraham Lucas OT • Washington State 75
Carson Strong QB • Nevada 75
Chad Muma LB • Wyoming 75
Christian Watson WR • North Dakota State 75
Darian Kinnard G • Kentucky 75
Derion Kendrick CB • Georgia 75
Drake Jackson EDGE • USC 75
James Mitchell TE • Virginia Tech 75
Jeremy Ruckert TE • Ohio State 75
Kyren Williams RB • Notre Dame 75
Luke Fortner C • Kentucky 75
Luke Goedeke G • Central Michigan 75
Max Mitchell OT • Louisiana 75
Quay Walker LB • Georgia 75
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I’m guessing that was generated before the combine since the safeties are still testing, I believe.

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I think they’ve been updating along the way. I’ll spot check a couple right now and then maybe cross-check the whole list in a couple days. (Safeties have been done for a couple hours.)

ETA: Looks like the data is recorded already (40, 3-cone, vert, shuttle, etc)

Some of those people weren’t in the combine,(see Charlie Kolar)…

I think its a very good discussion tool. Thank you for posting it.

Looking at the top of the list and piecing together what I’m hearing about Breece Hall, it almost seems like he is an Adrian Peterson level of back. But looking at the film, he is not. He’s really good though. I like his willingness to play with the hole (hehe) which gives the coaching staff options of how to attack with him. You can run the exact same play but have him attack it differently based on what the defense is doing or any “problem” defenders that the team is struggling to block.

So the Bears traded up to get the last Iowa State RB, David Montgomery. Same mo as Hall, hard to bring down, led NCAA in yards after contact but somewhat slower. But the Bears gave away what essentially was David Montgomery in the person of Jordan Howard. BOTH those players need 20 plus carries a game to get real numbers. I think Hall is that guy and I think Walker is that guy, neither to me is really a complete back for different reasons. Walker has issue’s blocking for his QB and is not now a receiving RB and Hall has vision issue’s. But, you give both those guys 20 carries a game and they are going to be seriously punishing the D by the 4th quarter. You really need to be either playing ahead or close to plan on them getting that amount of carries. We are a committee approach at RB, certain skills for certain situations. That’s why ypc can be pretty meaningless for a guy like Williams who got 3rd and short over and over. He led our team with 42 first downs last year. There is no way that Breece is the player they have ranked him to be and I like him.

Does this list have historical correlation to nfl performance?

I’ll dig up some on this later, but it’s the first year I’ve seen it from Next Gen stats. Good question, though.

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I just love predictions based on calculated complex algorithms and a combination of other stuff. The more complicated it is the easier it is to pass it by and ignore it. Especially when none of it really matters anyway.

Hall is a JAG IMO. More James Stewart than Adrian Peterson.

I do think it’s a good discussion tool but I see a real flaw in it too.

For example - Let’s say NFL analytics determines the best playing weight for a RB is 225 lbs and the best playing height is 5’9”.

RB’s at 245 lbs and are 6’3” tall can get a better grade than a RB who meets the perfect size.

Not to mention speed seems to have a heavy influence on the players end score.

I haven’t dug in deep into how their rankings work but on the surface this sticks out to me.

Not that I can tell.

The grade is heavily weighted by college production, but they’re not correlating college production with NFL production.

I see KW3 is still not getting any love.

Just can’t drill in here to see where the grade falls off for Walker.

And here’s more gory detail about how/what they’re grading:

Probably a good follow for you twitter peeps.

Maybe because it uses their entire body of college work instead of a single season? Really interesting that Josh Allen got a 99.

So obviously we will be taking Sauce Gardner @ #2OA then :+1: