I think the sample size is still too small to say this outright, which I say from experience because it burned me last year.
Because Holmes’s first two drafts cared more about positional value than any other GM in the league. I put too much stock into that and thus whiffed on all my predictions. But the sample size remains small.
Then there was the interview with Schrager after the draft where Brad said this:
“And I kind of look at, especially this past draft, you know, everybody was saying like, this is a different draft is a different draft. Well, this call what it is, it just wasn’t as strong of a draft as it normally is. you know, in a normal year, you had like true first round talent players, you might have about 17 or 18. Guys, I really haven’t seen any higher than 20. And all the years that I’ve been doing it. This is, we ended up with 14 guys. And that was at the very end, it was less than that. At one point. Like at one point, we had like nine or 10.”
He then compared it to the movie Training Day:
“You know, he goes into this, you know, the rough area, and he goes this lady’s house and takes his money. And then he goes out and him and Ethan Hawke are trying to get out of the neighborhood and the girl comes out there and rats him out says, Hey, this guy just took our money and Denzel’s just in this shoot out, and he just shooting out trying to get out of the neighborhood. And he’s basically shooting his way out of there. And I was like that draft is kind of that. Just get who we want and just shoot our way out of here and get on out of there.”
So I think it’s possible Brad does weigh positional value, just not so much that it swayed him away from the better players at RB (Gibbbs), LB (Campbell), etc… Much like you shouldn’t pass on a better player to reach for need, you also shouldn’t pass on a better player to reach for a higher value position.
I didn’t factor that in enough last year.