I get that but you’re just assuming he stays healthy for those years which every year of football added to your body makes less and less likely.
I might make an exception for a truly elite talent for instance if his teammate Bain was 25 I might be willing to take a swing but while this guy looks like a solid player I don’t think he’s a star
You also have to take into account that he was a 25 year old who was often playing against kids 4 or 5 years younger than him.
How much of his success was due to that? Will he still be successful when he’s playing against other grown men?
then why have the NFL Draft??? any of them could get injured immediately, suffer illnesses, broken/fractured bones, or play PART of a season.
Yeah but what I’m saying is the older a player is the more wear and tear he has on his body so the more likely he is to suffer injuries.
By taking a player who is already 25 years old and has accumulated significantly more wear and tear on his body you’re putting yourself in a position where you’re more likely to see that player suffer injuries and not help your team than you would if you took a guy who was only 21 years old.
Unless we’re talking QB, I would never take a 25 year old in the 1st, for the reasons you mentioned and more. Dominating vs. guys younger than him, one contract player - you really have to hope he hits the ground running, more wear and tear, etc… Plus, in this case, he was on a loaded line with multiple other guys the defense had to mind. He got more one-on-ones because of it. Guys like that always make me nervous.
look, Anzalone is one hell of a player, he’s proved himself despite of all the steamy crap that happened to this team and he’s here now! you sign or trade for or draft some 21 year old nobody that very well can get injured here and send Thor packing for all his hard work and dedication, then how much better are you? ‘ I ‘ have no say what these leaders will do, no control over their choice to cull Thor or not, that’s on them-but they are paying either way.
anyway, I’m done going back and fourth with you on this, I said what I meant.
The odds are usually much better for lower tier guys to go round 1
rather than guys to NOT get drafted 1 that are propular.
Remember when we did the mock draft and I swiped Xavier Leggette for the Bills when they still had Diggs at the time…
… Odds for him were like 8-1 or 10-1…. by the time I pulled the trigger it was down to 4-1.
DM me if you want any odds or thoughts on that type of draft wagering, usually picks up after the SB and Combine for oddsmakers. My inbox is always open
Welcome back @Jman we missed you around here. Draft season would not be the same without you.
I got Pearsall the day before that same draft at 16-1. Of course that was more of a punt and I missed some others, but that one hit more than paid for all the betting I did that draft.
Wow I never really look at like this for players.
This is a super valid point.
Hence why 20 years olds that dominated in college go so fast (see Sewell).
I had also just considered older means fewer peak years available but the man competing with boys is an interesting and valid point.
Right, and you’re seeing it more and more lately as guys stay longer and longer. That said I think over the next few years, at least at the highest levels, most of the starters will be in that 21-25 range, as they’ll just be filling up with guys who have already thrived at lower levels.
But we’re not there yet. Mesidor was much older than the vast majority of guys he went against.
He’s got J.Love #2 I respect that he is probably the best player in the draft.
Lemon & Conception are dawgs also
Screenshot.
Pics or it didn’t happen
Ha, well you’ll just have to not believe me then. I didn’t screenshot it and bovada’s history only goes back a month.
There was a thread on the reddit draft sub about surprise 1st rounders and Pearsall was one of the 2 or 3 I listed (I bet on all of them). Alas my post history only goes back a year, though the thread still exists in the ether somewhere.
Bets . Boobs. Butts
Pics or it didn’t happen bud
Heh, well I can’t go back in time. Thankfully like I said, I will sleep just fine with you not believing it.
I prefer to set the bar really low so disappointment isn’t a thing