Latest 11/26: College Football Playoff bracket

Dont pay attention to the seeding. It’s more or less what teams will be in. There is no scenario in my mind where those 12 teams will change.

Bama, Indiana and Penn St are locked in.
Miami, Ol Miss, S. Carolina, ACC loser, B12 Loser, MWC loser, are locked out.

If the favorites win (Oregon, Texas, SMU, Boise, Arizona St) this is what i could see

Does anyone know if they re-seed for the 2nd round?

They do not. Straight forward bracket.

Which is another reason why i think my estimated bracket would be ideal for the CFP. Because there would be no same Conference games in the first 2 rounds excluding if Penn st wins they would play Oregon.

I’d be pretty surprised if they moved Penn State down that far

Well if they lose. I think they would likely be behind the SEC loser. So the highest they can be is 6.

So i think they would drop them behind. ND. Just my opinion there.
Then if they are there. They would drop them behind OSU because of head to head.

So if you want to swap the seeds id be ok with that. So Penn St 8 and Tenn 9.

But i guess you could be right. They MAY stay ahead of Georgia since they are now. But not texas. But i think ND will be the 5th seed.

So maybe
5 ND
6 Penn st
7 Georgia
8 Osu?

The issue im having is with the seeding.

The CFP already said they will try to seed the teams to prevent a conference game in the first round.

The other question is, how high do they put the B12 champ?
Obvious over Alabama and Indiana.
But what about Tennessee and OSU
not ND.

If you put your tution on Michigan you would have been set for life :slight_smile:

Sorry could not resist.

But I actually think OSU wins vs Tennessee. I think the loss actually helps them loosen up a bit as no longer favorite to win it all.

FYI I also know you are interested in medical school. Michigan is a phenomenal med school (as a grad) so strongly consider it!

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So what happens if a team like SMU opts out of game…they in theory can’t drop per Warde statement if not playing…so why play championship game?

This is definitely something the conferences are going to have to wrestle with going forward. At this point they need to decide if the revenue being made from these conference championship games is worth the chance that your losing team from that game may get dropped out of the playoffs.

But that’s for the conferences to decide. If they want to continue having conference championship games then don’t complain when the loser of that game drops out.

For this season, of course SMU isn’t going to opt out of that game. I’m kind of hoping Clemson wins just to see what the playoff committee would do. But I’m not going to start hyperventilating over whatever decision they end up making. Of course Michigan isn’t involved so I don’t really have anything at stake anyway.

Unless, or until, college football evolves into an NFL type model there’s going to be subjective decisions being made and people getting butt hurt.

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Conference Champ games are going to disappear soon enough.
Heck EVERYTHING is going to change in FBS soon.

Pretty much all the contracts for all the conferences and playoffs etc all expire around 2030.

At which point the FBS has 2 options.

1 each conference regulates their schedule and NIL deals equally (good luck). No more
conference champ games. 16+ team play off.

2 the rest of the good schools from the ACC and B12 join either the b10 or sec. And they break off and do their own thing.
With each of them having a 4-8 team conference playoff and the winners face off in a championship game.

3 the top ~48 schools break off and do their own thing.

Those are the only options i see going forward

With it becoming more likely as you go down the list

I have one big problem in particular with this. Sorry @HSVLion

Now we can all agree that when Alabama was ranked 13th and South Carolina 15th last week that it was based on their resume to date or in other words, taking into account the head to head Alabama beating South Carolina.
My issue is, why does Alabama get bumped up 2 spots and South Carolina only 1 after Alabama beat unranked Auburn at home while South Carolina beat #12 Clemson on the road? Please make that make sense.
Now if you compare their resumes Alabama has a better overall resume BUT their resume was even better than South Carolina’s before this week’s games and now the spread is bigger between the two after South Carolina had the much better win. Very confusing and inconsistent.

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Hence why it’s a committee doing it. And on that team is a bunch of executives that care about money not actual football.

And Alabama brings in more views and money than Miami, South Carolina and Ol Miss. plain and simple.

But if it was purely based off football.

The rankings would be
1 Oregon
2 Texas
3 ND
4 Penn St
5 Ohio St
6 SMU
7 Indiana
8 Georgia
9 Boise
10 Tennessee
11 Miami
12 Ol Miss
13 Alabama
14 Iowa St

20 South Carolina

Multiple sites have computer based power rankings similar to DVOA.

It’s crazy. Like, why have the committee do rankings before the final week at all if it means nothing. The way they handled Alabama and South Carolina rendered the previous week rankings completely useless.

Alabama has the better resume and the better brand name obviously but it’s the rankings they had prior to this week that gives me the biggest pause. They actually spread Alabama and South Carolina out even more even though South Carolina had the better win, mind boggling.

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The rankings during the season are purely to build hype around teams for ratings. I really don’t pay attention yo them at all during the season.

I hear what your saying. But in the end. I believe they do have the 7 best wild card teams.

I actually feel like South Carolina is better than Alabama. They really should have beaten them and got robbed against LSU early in the season by poor reffing and they’re arguably the hottest team in the country currently. Kinda sucks for them but in terms of brand names there are some potential enormous matchups on the horizon.

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Just every metric ive seen, no matter who it is, all the advanced metrics have it like the CFP.

Also i just realized something funny is going to happen.

B10 Champ - Oregon - (PAC)
SEC Champ - Texas - (B12)
ACC Champ - SMU - (AAC)
B12 Champ - Arizona St - (PAC)

All of the champs will be new to the conference

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I just realized that if Oregon and Texas win, there’s a shot Ohio State could be the 6 seed and host Alabama.

Grinch Smile GIF

That is funny.

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