I wish I was smarter and knew what any of this meant!!!
In my experience, not a good sign when the public is hammering an underdog
Also not a good sign when they are getting hammered and the line isn’t moving to adjust
It’s early in the week, if the %'s keep up the lines will move
But what does it all mean? That the Lions will be screwed over in order to prevent big pay-outs?
Its juiced to -6.5. But hasnt moved yet.
A few books have moved to -6.5 and SF got hammered
If the line were to move to -6.5 you will see a ton of money come in on the 49ers. In a lot of casinos the line was originally at -6.5 and enough money came in on the 49ers early that it drove the number up to -7. Those 49er fans with big money are waiting and hoping it does go to -6.5. There is also a lot of people waiting to hear about Deebo. Honestly, him playing or not could move the line as much as a full point.
Cesars and MGM have it -7 but
Lions are -115 +7
SF Is -105 -7
Where as bet rivers has
Lions +100 +6.5
SF -121 -6.5
I can see rivers going back to 7 before the others go to 6.5
Hope not bro
It’s worth nothing that pretty much everywhere else, the spread money is pretty much 50-50 and most money is heavy on SF moneyline.
MGM just a crazy outlier.
Casinos don’t control the outcome of games. Can you imagine if even a shred of something similar were to come out?!
The Lions are clearly the darlings of the NFL right now. We have had the best viewership numbers in prime time and the playoffs this year. Lions in the Super Bowl appears like the best thing for ratings, and as someone else mentioned, the Taylor Swift factor if the Chiefs make it could make it the most watched event in league history.
Not sure how the league and CBS isn’t pulling for us to win this weekend.
With that said, I’d feel a lot better if the money would even out more.
Sorry not trying to insinuate they do…I truly do not understand what it means when the line moves like that and how betting influences that (other then to mitigate loses, but not sure that’s even correct). I really do not understand any of this…a foreign language to me.
Well could be because MGM is a Detroit casino
They took a big hit this Sunday
So I wasn’t a math major but 30% of bets on Lions and 88% of bets on SF. adds up to 118%.
+747 2 team par
Casinos definitely don’t control the outcome. However, there is a natural line movement that occurs to get “equal” money on both sides of the game. The farther away from 50/50 “casinos” get, the more they are “gambling” instead of just running a sportsbook. So every better watches to see the natural movement of the betting lines based on the money coming in. In a rare instance when the line doesn’t move in a normal fashion, it tends to mean the “casinos” have an inside track on some information or metrics. They are willing to buck line setting norms “because they know something.”
Just put $50 at +900 on Lions vs Chiefs Super Bowl and another $50 at +2300 on Lions over Chiefs in SB.
So I wasn’t a math major but 30% of bets on Lions and 88% of bets on SF. adds up to 118%.
First, those are 2 different bet types they are citing. A bet against the spread is completely different than a moneyline bet. I have 2 bets for the Lions. One is +7 against the spread. The other is the moneyline. For the moneyline bet, the Lions have to win…period. For the spread, the Lions can lose…but as long as it is by less than 7 points I win. Sportsbooks have to weigh the “juice” put into the moneyline bet vs the points of the spread.
I’m gonna go do it too ■■■■it
Already got $100 on 2 team par
Edit : @detroit1811 I can’t find the odds that you got.
I’m better off just picking the games , pays better