Lions bets coming in hot at MGM apparently

https://twitter.com/johnewing/status/1749831861445255226

1 Like

I wish I was smarter and knew what any of this meant!!!

3 Likes

In my experience, not a good sign when the public is hammering an underdog

Also not a good sign when they are getting hammered and the line isn’t moving to adjust

7 Likes

It’s early in the week, if the %'s keep up the lines will move

3 Likes

But what does it all mean? That the Lions will be screwed over in order to prevent big pay-outs?

4 Likes

Its juiced to -6.5. But hasnt moved yet.
A few books have moved to -6.5 and SF got hammered

1 Like

If the line were to move to -6.5 you will see a ton of money come in on the 49ers. In a lot of casinos the line was originally at -6.5 and enough money came in on the 49ers early that it drove the number up to -7. Those 49er fans with big money are waiting and hoping it does go to -6.5. There is also a lot of people waiting to hear about Deebo. Honestly, him playing or not could move the line as much as a full point.

2 Likes

Cesars and MGM have it -7 but
Lions are -115 +7
SF Is -105 -7

Where as bet rivers has
Lions +100 +6.5
SF -121 -6.5

I can see rivers going back to 7 before the others go to 6.5

Hope not bro

It’s worth nothing that pretty much everywhere else, the spread money is pretty much 50-50 and most money is heavy on SF moneyline.

MGM just a crazy outlier.

3 Likes

Casinos don’t control the outcome of games. Can you imagine if even a shred of something similar were to come out?!

The Lions are clearly the darlings of the NFL right now. We have had the best viewership numbers in prime time and the playoffs this year. Lions in the Super Bowl appears like the best thing for ratings, and as someone else mentioned, the Taylor Swift factor if the Chiefs make it could make it the most watched event in league history.

Not sure how the league and CBS isn’t pulling for us to win this weekend.

With that said, I’d feel a lot better if the money would even out more.

1 Like

Sorry not trying to insinuate they do…I truly do not understand what it means when the line moves like that and how betting influences that (other then to mitigate loses, but not sure that’s even correct). I really do not understand any of this…a foreign language to me.

1 Like

Well could be because MGM is a Detroit casino

They took a big hit this Sunday

So I wasn’t a math major but 30% of bets on Lions and 88% of bets on SF. adds up to 118%.

+747 2 team par

1 Like

Casinos definitely don’t control the outcome. However, there is a natural line movement that occurs to get “equal” money on both sides of the game. The farther away from 50/50 “casinos” get, the more they are “gambling” instead of just running a sportsbook. So every better watches to see the natural movement of the betting lines based on the money coming in. In a rare instance when the line doesn’t move in a normal fashion, it tends to mean the “casinos” have an inside track on some information or metrics. They are willing to buck line setting norms “because they know something.”

3 Likes

Just put $50 at +900 on Lions vs Chiefs Super Bowl and another $50 at +2300 on Lions over Chiefs in SB.

2 Likes

First, those are 2 different bet types they are citing. A bet against the spread is completely different than a moneyline bet. I have 2 bets for the Lions. One is +7 against the spread. The other is the moneyline. For the moneyline bet, the Lions have to win…period. For the spread, the Lions can lose…but as long as it is by less than 7 points I win. Sportsbooks have to weigh the “juice” put into the moneyline bet vs the points of the spread.

I’m gonna go do it too ■■■■ it

Already got $100 on 2 team par

Edit : @detroit1811 I can’t find the odds that you got.

I’m better off just picking the games , pays better