Updated tracker post week 14.
Still very tight margins.
I call a little bullshit on this chart. The Lions can lose out and still get the number 1 seed. That 0% is false.
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Agreed. Ill have to make a chart with the win probability of the other 2 teams and do some calculations
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It looks like if we lose out, there’s 0% chance to win the #1 seed.
That is what the chart says, but in playoff machine, I can have the Lions lose out and the Eagles go 1-3 and the Lions still get the number 1 seed. So that chart is wrong.
Gotcha!
The maker of that chart said it only includes the Lions results. He did not consider if those teams lost. Assumption is they win for that chart.
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That wouldn’t make sense either though, because if the assumption is the Eagles win all their games, then the Lions with any two losses would have a 0% chance for a number 1 seed, not a 41-76% chance, as the chart says. So either way, bad chart.
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You guys who don’t like the chart are just splitting hairs. We need to win at least two of the next four. Preferably, three of the next four. WE ARE NOT LOSING OUT.
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Oh, ye of little faith.
We’re winning the next 7!
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More like 37.
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So if the only loss we take is the Vikings, and the Vikings win out, we still win division?
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Correct. We beat the Rams. They did not.
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Magic number is 3, any combo of 3 wins/vikes loses we win the division.
Any 3 wins/eagles loses get us the 1 seed.
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Would love to have 1st seed clinched before that game. All aboard the Hooker express. 
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