First WC- Orioles. 86-70, last 10: 3-7, playoff odds: 99%
Second WC- Royals, 82-74, last 10: 3-7, odds: 68%
Third WC- Tigers - 82-74, last 10: 7-3, playoff odds: 71%
Out right now- Twins - 81-75, last 10: 3-7, odds: 54%
Out rght now - Mariners - 80-76, last 10: 6-4, odds: 6%
Red Sox and Rays also have a chance of <1%.
Skubal starts tomorrow against the Rays and is scheduled to start the season finale against the White Sox.
If, IF, they have a WC berth locked up I think you sit him so he starts in the playoffs
The Tigers go 4-2 and this thing is likely locked up. Hard to imagine the Royals and Twins going 4-2 and 5-1 respectively. Two stories of a hell of a surge and two collapses.
The American League has put the “wild” in Wild Card this weekend. After months of the Royals and Twins consistently holding the final two Wild Card spots behind the Orioles, things got more interesting over the weekend as the red-hot Tigers knocked Minnesota out of playoff position entirely. Now, Kansas City and Detroit are tied for the last two playoff spots in the AL with identical 82-74 records, with the Twins just one game behind at 81-75. Should things come down to a tiebreaker, the Twins would benefit as they hold the tiebreaker over both Kansas City and Detroit, while the Royals won the tiebreaker over the Tigers.
The Wild Card isn’t limited to AL Central teams, though, and the Mariners notably lurk just one game back of Minnesota at 80-76 though all three Central clubs hold tiebreakers over Seattle. Meanwhile, neither the Red Sox nor the Rays have technically been eliminated at this point, but it would take a miracle for either 78-78 club to squeak into the postseason. Of all the potential Wild Card contenders in the AL, only the Mariners play today as they start a three-game set against the Astros that could either officially eliminate them from the AL West or vault them back into a playoff spot. That series kicks off at 7:10pm local time in Houston tonight, with youngsters Bryce Miller (3.06 ERA) and Hunter Brown (3.57 ERA) set to face off.