PFF projects Lions to win less than the current odds total

According to DraftKings, they have the line set at 9.5 wins for the Lions. If you bet the over, the odds are set at -120 and the odds of +100 are for the under. In the article from PFF, their simulated win total for the Lions is at 8.79 wins.

This would put them behind the Minnesota Vikings, who are projected 8.89 wins. It’s essentially a toss-up between the two teams and much of it could come down to the final three weeks of the season where they have two matchups against each other. It’s predicted that their end of the season tilts could determine who walks away with the NFC North title.

Not buying that scenario–the Vikings suffered serious personnel losses

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Media and podcasters have really started pushing back on the hopium recently. I kind of prefer this than the early offseason hype tbh.

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talking heads don’t matter at all, what matters is what our team does on the field and how well they gel and play quality/productive football together the rest is noise !

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Agree with Wolf.
I think it was Twentyman’s interview with Wayne Blair when TT asks him about expectations being rasied and what is it like inside the club.
He answered, it’s all business higher expectations but inside it is all about getting better. Think I have the right video.

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I wonder if PFF is trying to factor in the Ref’s

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Win total goes to 12 when we Beat the Chiefs on opening night in front of the entire world.

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I’m in denial until further notice. La la la la la la…

Youre Wrong John C Mcginley GIF

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The great thing about PFF is their first podcast after the season is over and talk about our 14 wins, they will claim they knew it all along

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I’ve long wondered if Sportsbooks put a bias component into their models.

Hard thing to quantify of course. But in the interest of money it would be wise to crack the code.

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Since we’re speaking of “odds”, what are the “odds” that they change that prediction before the season starts?

snoop dr dre GIF

The only bias they care about is the bias of the general public’s betting habits and how they perceive available information. They aren’t trying to win the bet, they are simply trying to have the appropriate amount of money on either side.
And if they get the initial line “wrong,” they move it until the money starts moving the other way.

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If I was betting, over 9 1/2 seems to be very doable.

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Does this publication not have editors?

Fewer wins, not less wins.

Fewer vs. less is my grammar pet peeve currently.

#grammarnazi4life
#offsesson

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go ■■■■ yourself middle finger GIF

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It opened at 9.

How the ■■■■ does a team win .79 of a game!? Gotta be some crazy ties involved. :smiley:

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Do you remember how under Patricia we would have the game won for like 79% of the game and still somehow lose? I’m guessing its something like that.

So should I pray for less grammar police or fewer grammar police?

prayer GIF

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If true, the Lions won .61 of a playoff game vs the Cowboys in 2014! Where can I get a banner for that?

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Fewer grammar Nazis or less grammar policing.

https://www.grammarly.com/blog/fewer-vs-less/