Are we talking about the same guy that was 34-12 as a starter with 2 Super Bowl wins???
Comparing QB stats of current players to those seasons that transpired prior to all of the rule changes favoring offense is ridiculous.
Kurt Warner had 4353 yards in 1999 with the record breaking “fastest show on turf”… and Jared Goff has bested that number 3 times in his career.
Plus… Goff’s rating has been over 87 in 5 of his 6 full seasons.
Can’t hit a QB without a flag.
Can’t make contact with a WR after 5 yards… without a flag…
can’t hit a WR hard …. or… another flag…
Ever notice that just about every year the media and fans are predicting a bunch of QB’s going to 5. Often 3-4 out of the top 5 picks?
It rarely happens that way.
In 2021 QB’s went 1-3 and many thought it would be 1-4. With 5 QB’s going in the top 10 but Fields and Max dropped into the teens.
In 2020 there were 4 QB’s projected top 10 and 3 projected top 5. burrows went 1, Tua went 5 and Herbert 6. Love didn’t go until the 20’s.
In 2019 most mocks had 3 QB’s going top 5 but only two went top 10 and it was Jones not Haskins like most mocks predicted.
In 2018 mocks were suggesting 6 QB’s could go top 10 and that the draft could go QB picks 1-5. … Baker went 1OA, Darnold at 3OA, Allen at 7, Rosen at 10 and Jackson at 32.
Point is most drafts QB’s don’t go as high as projected. Even though they do tend to go higher than they should. Also look at how many of those high QB picks bust.
I suspect this year will be more of the same. We will probably see just 2 QB’s in the top 5.
Here’s the facts. In the last 22 drafts only once has 3 QB’s gone top 5. So hoping 3 go top 5 is highly unlikely let alone 4.
It’s rare to see 2 QB’s go top 5 but it does happen often enough.
There’s a lot of QB needy teams this year but I wouldn’t be surprised if only two QBs go top 5. In fact that’s the most likely scenario.
Gonna be 3. Past results are not a guarantee of future returns. I would be shocked if it were just 2. You’re analysis is on, I just think team needs will override, especially given all the focus on QB On Rookie Deal Team Build Strategy blah blah blah…which, beyond, Mahomes, hasn’t produced a SB win…
It will be interesting to where this goes. One thing that is consistent about draft season is that what we see at the beginning of the process is bullshit and what we see at the end tends to bend towards reality.
Schefter’s info, if reality, only applies to those teams with those picks — not necessarily who is interested in trading up.
Calling it: Raiders move up to 3 (if Colts don’t beat them to it) to nab either Richardson or Stroud. Colts will take Levis or whoever else is available.