Thank you pharm…I was gonna post those stats and some of Metcalf’s…although I am not sure Metcalf ever rushed for 1000 yds or more. I know he was a RB at Texas but once he got to the NFL he became more of a Receiver.
Theo Riddick had a season with 80 catches and only 43 rushing attempts. The 43 rushing attempts were the 3rd highest of his career. Riddick never had 100 carries in a single season. And to add another metric…Riddick played in 88 career games. In 43 of them he had 2 or less carries.
You guys are taking this comparison very literal. I’m not saying he’s going to be Theo riddick. Riddick was limited skill set wise and he was never used in the running game but what he could do was run routes like a receiver. He was a mismatch weapon on 3rd down. That’s what I was referring too.
When I was banging the drum for Bijan last year saying a Faulk like player could unlock this offense, it never really occurred me to think of Gibbs as a better comp. But he is really
I like Gibbs but I’m not convinced he’s a big plus over Swift. Swift averaged about 1000 all purpose yards per season. That’s not easy to duplicate.
I really liked Swift coming out and my hope is that Gibbs can be everything Swift was and wasn’t.
The big plus to me for Gibbs is his speed and home run ability. Not his receiving ability that everyone raves about.
Swift averaged about 400 yards receiving a year. I expect Gibbs to equal or exceed that. Especially with Williams sidelined for 6 weeks.
But Swift just wasn’t the runner I envisioned he’d be in the NFL. Averaging just shy of 600 yards a season. Durability limited how many snaps Swift could be used in a game. I expected more from Swift and I have hopes Gibbs can provide it but what can we truly expect from him?
David Montgomery Is too good to keep on the bench and he will likely be the RB in on first downs. This means he will likely get more rushing snaps than Gibbs.
The Lions offense averaged 28 rushing attempts per game last season. I expect us to be close to that number again this year. That means there’s about 450 rushing attempts available to split.
It’s a safe bet to expect our two top backs to make up for about 350-375 of those attempts.
Montgomery has averaged about 4 yrds per attempt in his career. I think it’s safe to expect that he will continue that trend. I expect him to get around 200-225 carries for about 800-850 yards. Something he’s done every year of his career.
That leaves about 125-150 rushing snaps for Gibbs. So for Gibbs to be an improvement over Swift he will need to average 4.8+ yards per carry to equal Swifts 600 yards on the ground. That’s not an easy task but his home run ability should help him accomplish that.
All in all I’m not convinced he will be this huge statistical improvement over Swift.
What I’m hoping for from him is more consistency, and more TD’s because of his home run ability. Which should help the offense move the chains
I’m really curious to see how effective Montgomery will be. If he can increase his yards per carry up to about 4.5 he could be a 900-1000 yard back for us. This is possible considering the Lions OL is better than anything CHI had.