Jalen Hurts and Cam have gotten to the dance…. So have McNabb and McNair…
The thing is that after getting there… McNabb, Newton, and McNair…. The thing is they all got there pretty young, didn’t win it, and were rarely heard from again…. The 3 only had 6 combined winning seasons out of 20 following their SB runs…
Not to mention McNabb never got 100 carries, McNair topped out of 101…. Cam never had more than 140…. Yet all 3 had bodies fail them pretty young.
You already see signs from Lamar, Murray, Fields and Hurts-
I can appreciate Mahomes and even Burrow have some escape-ability, but their 40 times and 50 yard TD run highlights aren’t what got them drafted.
IE- if the team drafting AR15 was told for a fact it would take 2 years to be ready to start full time, and the he was limited to 6 or less carries per week for his career- is he a top 10 pick?
That’s just it, you don’t run for long in the nfl. Might be able to do it for 5-7 seasons if everything goes perfectly. Those hits add up now. And now it’s a 17 game season, soon to be 18 games before long.
Josh Allen is a guy to look out for. 3 years in a row over 100 carries, and he doesn’t slide. That is going to catch up to him if he doesn’t change his style of play soon.
All depends on the definition of running QB IMO.
Favre could run if forced, same with Erin, Maholmes, Wilson ect. Heck I remember Tarkington as a great running scrambler.
Is being mobile with the ability to run and take advantage of an over aggressive defense considered a gamble on a QB?
It’s funny that many will focus on the few throws a guy like Goff might not be able to make. At least until they win a SB or 2… or 7 like Eli or Brady….
Yet many are willing to ignore the 25-30% of the time a guy WHO CAN make all the throws misses due to accuracy?
This isn’t a slant on Stafford, as I think he’s got pretty solid accuracy too…. I just remember watching the Lions and wondering why our WRs were never open… I even used Goff and the Rams as the example of how in the hell Kupp or Cooks could be running 5 yards from the nearest defender.
Then last year I saw some wide open Chark, Raymond, ASB etc catches and it dawned on me…
a great play caller can scheme somebody open on most plays. A great QB knows this and won’t force it. He will throw it away and get it on the next one…. Manning and Brady did that a TON!
The next level is Mahomes and Rodgers who take the chances and still pull it off somehow.
I would argue that there is zero reason to believe that AR15 will be as good a passer or runner than Cam…
Cam had 3 winning seasons in a 12 year career…3 playoff wins…a SB loss-
I don’t see Richardson throwing for 30 plus TDs…. I don’t see him staying healthy if he allowed to run often enough to gain 1,000 yards on the ground….
So let’s say….
By year 3 Richardson has 3,800 yards with 28 TDs and 800 yards rushing and 8 tds…. That would be pretty amazing right? So basically Hurts?
If he had a top 5 defense and Aj Brown, D Smith, Goedert, the best OL and a 1200 yard RB… then sure if all that happens he could finish the runner up
Something Goff has already done. Of our OL gets better, our RB room gets better, and Jamo is better than Chark was last year…. Don’t you expect Goff and the offense to be the same or better? I could see Goff as the QB on a team that scores 474 plus points in 17 games (since I watched him scored 525 points in 16?)
It’s the same reason that Josh Allen will win a Super Bowl in the next two years, or never. If you are a QB and running is higher than your 4th or 5th option on every play, you will be Cam Newton by year 5. I don’t care how much you are built like a MAC truck.
There was sarcasm in my statement. I don’t think AR15 is trash. Who knows what he will do, if he gets in the right situation he could really excel. If he doesn’t he could flame out. I don’t think assuming the offense maintains it’s high potency is a given, not saying it can’t, but you can’t assume it.