It’s his weird profile. Late breakout, wasn’t even a full-time starter until last year. etc… According to analytics, all this portends to a questionable future.
However if you dig a little deeper you find legitimate reasons for all of his analytical flaws. Terribly-timed injuries, position competition, tragedy. Puka and McLaurin had similarly meh profiles but reasons for them as well, and we’ve seen how they worked out so far.
In the modern NFL formational X-WR is replaced more with body type.
It used to be the WR1 and most likely to be single coverage because he was on the weak side. Now with bunches and motions guys play all over.
Coleman would be the big physical WR the Lions don’t have on roster.
This notion that Goff won’t throw into tight windows is overblown. He does it quite often with ARSB and LaPorta. Coleman is probably the best in this draft in tracking a fighting for contested catches. And being comped as a “Puka/Godwin type with better contested catch ability” is not a bad thing.
I do like Legette better (significant speed advantage) but I would definitely risk trading down when there are over 10 players that I like within that range.
Holmes may not like all the players listed but he will trade back even risking a player he loves. Last year he traded back from 6 to 12 even though he loved Gibbs.
Now that all of the starting positions have been filled there is no burning need to fill a hole in the lineup.
A trade back with LV (who might be interested in coming up to get Penix) at #44 would gain another day #2 pick (#77).
I don’t think Legette is worth more than Coleman (#44) AND a Zack Zinter (#77), or any other combination of Day#2 prospects.
On Day #2 there are apt to be quite a few guys that check the box for Holmes just like it was last year.
That’s fair (though I’m down on both those guys personally, but it’s evaluation and to each his own), but this presupposes an ease to trading down that I don’t think exists. I know you introduced that hypothetical during your original response, but I was only responding to the Legette over Coleman part. Obviously if Brad hits, two players are better than one, I agree.
He’ll throw into tight windows, but he doesn’t throw jump balls. Like, ever. He rarely gives a chance to guys who aren’t open. Even those tight window throws have a sliver of space and he’s just so preternaturally accurate (his best trait imo) that he’s able to hit them where only our WR can get it.
Coleman’s contested catch ability will go largely wasted imo. Now, when he running a route from the slot, say, his lack of separation (my biggest issue with him) can be mitigated by Goff’s accuracy, and in that sense I expect him to be able to come down with plenty of ARSB and LaPorta style closely-guarded catches.
But to me we have that in spades. It’s not just a “big receiver” we’re lacking (Reynolds and DPJ are both big receivers imo), it’s a big, dynamic receiver. When I say X that’s what I mean, more type than position (though I think we well have plenty of X type routes available, I agree that traditional receiver denotations are largely irrelevant).
Fair take for sure! I just like him a ton, and we could use an X still…….
Yeah but to be fair everyone trashed our draft last year. Hell, just about everyone on this board did so as well. 
.
We all obviously learned to just st$u and TRUST.
Most have learned, not all.
LOL
Anytime I see contested my first thought is that Goff isn’t likely to throw it.
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