So i went through and took each teams DVOA, EPA and Success% for offense and defense. Put them into a scale -10 to 10. Where 0 is average and the tens are best and worst.
Averaged those for offense and defense and plotted them out. Heres the data
Lions are ELITE
Outstanding.
I want to see this graph in motion (an 8-frame gif) game-by-game. Then we can see which direction they’re heading, as well as how well they’ve done so far.
Look at how trash the AFC is yuck
Ughhh I hate KC I hope it’s not them again in the Superbowl
The only issue is Tyliek Williams being a bust. 
Yea only KC and JAX are in the top right Square
IND, DEN, HOU, are close.
Everyone else is FAR below average one way or another.
Meanwhile you have DET, LAR, GB, SEA are in the top end
MIN, ATL, SF are close.
Also ill be interested to see how much teams move after this week. Ill have it updated tomorrow once the DVOA stats update
It’s strange how this graph makes ATL, JAX, CAR, HOU, and MIN look better than or equivalent to BUF, PHI, TB, and SF. Which makes me wonder if offense is more important than defense.
Take, for example, the Colts. Best record in the league. By far the best offense per the grid, but only an average defense. I think Buffalo gets more out of their offense than Houston gets out of its defense when it comes to winning games.
Once your out of the top area. I think offense is more reliable.
So if your 2.0+ in both offense and defense thats tier 1.
If your only above average in one category definitely lean offense.
Because in today’s nfl.
Having a good offense and average defense is better than average offense and good defense.
I mean look at Dallas and Cleveland.
People say Dallas is close to being great and Cleveland is absolutely trash.
Even tho they are almost exactly opposites.
Dallas 5.5 Offense -8.5 Defense
Cleveland 6.5 Defense -8.5 Offense.
Prepare to be disappointed.
I refuse to believe GB has a better offense than us.
DET VS GB offense
success 47% to 49%
EPA 0.10 to 0.15
DVOA 0.18 to 0.10
So its very close.
Similar success rate
GreenBay has the higher EPA
Lions have the higher DVOA
And i bet GB goes up higher after this week
Pack has failed to score 27 only once. That’s a pretty good offense.
Lions have failed to score 27 three times now.
I think the tricky part to figure in is quality of opponent. Remember, even though both teams are playing the same divisions, the Packers are playing a 3rd place schedule and the Lions are playing a 1st place schedule.
For common opponents, the Lions beat the Browns while GB lost. Both teams beat the Bengals, the Lions did better but also played Browning. GB played a straight off the plane Joe Flacco. That’s all we got so far.
The Packers second half of their schedule is much harder in terms of defense. Thanks to them playing a 3rd place schedule, they got @Denver too. No way am I volunteering to play that defense!
You think so ?
They look like easily the best AFC team to me, yeah. Buffalo can’t be trusted (lost to NE at home and Atlanta? Really?). The Ravens have all sorts of health issues and while I expect them to win the AFCN, they’ll have to go @ Buffalo and @ KC to reach the Super Bowl, and I find that highly unlikely. The Bengals will be lucky to make it.
The Colts look like the next best team, and sorry I can’t take Daniel Jones over Pat, for as much as I’d like for it to happen. Also Indy’s defense is pretty crappy, they’ve benefitted from a pretty easy schedule. Not saying they aren’t good, just not #1 overall AFC Super Bowl good.
Denver can beat the Chiefs on their day, but they can also lose at home to the Giants.
I think this is the best version of the Chiefs we’ve seen in 3 years.
It really is
I’ve just failed to beleive it
No mention of Chargers?
I just don’t trust their OL, though it’s a lot better with Alt back. But I can’t get their games against the Giants and Commanders out of my head. Washington ran them out of their own building.
So did the Colts.
Hoping they are one of those teams that gets healthier as the year goes on and gets hot 2nd half of the season.
Man I cannot imagine the most likely scenario
KC vs GB rematch of SB1
:,(
That’s the favorite for SB matchup right now unfortunately
Thankfully the favored matchup at this point has only hit once ever, I think. Last year after week 8 it was Lions-Chiefs 
We all know GB is a sham choke-artist team, even if they get the #1 seed. I would be stunned if they made the Super Bowl. Us, Philly, LAR… it’ll be one of those teams. Maybe SF too, but with their injuries I doubt it.
