Rams--->Lions pick

[BitterSyd]

Noticed early in the third that he was starting to pull to the left. A clear sign his ball joint wasn’t right.

[Mr.Peabody]

@JerseyJungle

guess he had a Problem.

[JimInTN]

@JerseyJungle

Not for draft order.

First tiebreaker is strength of schedule. Bronco’s SOS is .485 after 16 games. Rams SOS is .507 after 16 games. Broncos still need to play the Chargers at .625. Rams play the Seahawks who sit at .500. If you factor in the remaining game the Broncos SOS will be .493, while the Rams SOS will stay at .507 (.5066). So the Broncos still have the easier SOS, so would pick before the Rams. (Technically, you would need to recalculate each teams SOS after game 17 taking account of what all of their previous opponents did in week 17. But, this late in the season, its way too much ground to make up.)

The head-to-head tiebreaker is actually the fourth tie breaker for draft order: 1. SOS, 2. divisional record (presumably if from the same division?), 3. conference tiebreaker (same conference?), then head-to-head.

Asking why its not the same as the playoff rules would be a very valid question IMHO.

Also wrong. The 2nd and final tie breaker for the draft is a coin flip.

[JerseyJungle]

@JimInTN

@JerseyJungle

Not for draft order.

First tiebreaker is strength of schedule. Bronco’s SOS is .485 after 16 games. Rams SOS is .507 after 16 games. Broncos still need to play the Chargers at .625. Rams play the Seahawks who sit at .500. If you factor in the remaining game the Broncos SOS will be .493, while the Rams SOS will stay at .507 (.5066). So the Broncos still have the easier SOS, so would pick before the Rams. (Technically, you would need to recalculate each teams SOS after game 17 taking account of what all of their previous opponents did in week 17. But, this late in the season, its way too much ground to make up.)

The head-to-head tiebreaker is actually the fourth tie breaker for draft order: 1. SOS, 2. divisional record (presumably if from the same division?), 3. conference tiebreaker (same conference?), then head-to-head.

Asking why its not the same as the playoff rules would be a very valid question IMHO.

Also wrong. The 2nd and final tie breaker for the draft is a coin flip.

What source do you have for that? Do you have a link @JimInTN?
Here is the one I used: (coin toss is 7th, 8th or 9th tiebreaker depending on whether divisional or conference tie-breakers apply).

The rules of the NFL Draft | NFL Football Operations

If the teams have the same strength of schedule, division or conference tiebreakers are applied. If the divisional or conference tiebreakers are not applicable, or ties still exist between teams of different conferences, ties will be broken the following tie-breaking method:

1. Head-to-head, if applicable
2. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games (minimum of four)
3. Strength of victory in all games
4. Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed in all games
5. Best net points in all games
6. Best net touchdowns in all games
7. Coin toss

[1CasanovaJack]

This is why you want a QB who CAN run if they have to but can feel the pressure and move out of the pocket and throw it away OR pick up a few yards while running it out of bounds. AR led the league in rushing yards for a QB in the past doing exactly that, but because there has been a major move to have the RB/QB, well, that era is over. Injuries to this type of player, risk vs reward, I’m out. Goff might be average with re to pocket movement, and that might be kind, but he has made up for it by avoiding sacks and throwing it away. We have to have an above average OL for him to be successful, so what? Teams have identities, if that’s ours I’m good. If they move on from BigV I want an OG in the first 4 picks. Let our RB’s do the running and the QB do what he is suppose to do, throw the ball. The Bears screwed up by taking Fields IMO even if the early success of his running looks impressive, unstopable. The problem is once teams figure out how to play contain, he’s a less than average QB trying to beat you with his arm. This is the first in what will be a long list of injuries for Fields, it isn’t if, it’s when. Lamar Jackson has 17 TD’s passing and 3 running this year, it’s a good thing his D is allowing 18.18 points per game.

With our Rams pick I want Carter or trade out. If NEITHER are possible then take your highest rated CB.

[JimInTN]

Ok, I was wrong. The rule change in 2019.

New rule will make draft order coin flips a thing of the past - ProFootballTalk

[JerseyJungle]

@JimInTN

Ok, I was wrong. The rule change in 2019.

https://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2019/03/27/new-rule-will-make-draft-order-coin-flips-a-thing-of-the-past/amp/

Thanks @JimInTN. Always enjoy your contributions.

[JerseyJungle]

Had to write it out (current draft pick in ( ), team we want in bold
Relevant games:
SF -14 (4)AZ,
(5)Indy -2.5 Houston,
Seattle -6 (6)Rams,
(7)Atl -4 TB,
KC -8.5(8)LV,
NO -3 (9)Car

Pick 5: 53% Rams lose, and one of two (Indy, AZ) win
Pick 6: 19% Rams lose, Indy loses - or - Rams win and LV, Car and Atl all win (yay)
Pick 8: 12% Rams win, one of three (LV, Car, Atl) win
Pick 9: 8% Rams win, LV, Car, Atl all lose
Pick 7: 6% Rams win, two of three (LV, Car, Atl) win
Pick 4: 2% Rams lose, and Indy, AZ both win

We’re rooting for four underdogs (AZ, Rams, LV, Car) and two favorites (Indy, Atl). If it goes chalk, we get pick 5, but don’t make the playoffs. If the Rams win and the rest goes chalk, we get pick 8. I would love that.