Tigers vs Guardians; August 11-13

Guardians

:play_button: Series: Three games at Comerica Park, Detroit

:play_button: First pitch: Tuesday-Wednesday — 6:40 p.m.; Thursday — 1:10 p.m.

:play_button: TV/radio: All games on DSN/97.1, 107.9

:play_button: Probables: Tuesday — RHP Tanner Bibee (4-11, 3.85) vs. RHP Drew Anderson (4-4, 4.01); Wednesday — LHP Foster Griffin (12-4, 3.31) vs. LHP Framber Valdez (7-7, 4.17); Thursday — LHP Parker Messick (9-6, 2.57) vs. RHP Keider Montero (8-7, 3.38)

:play_button: Bibee, Guardians: He’s coming off a 10-strikeout performance in a loss to the Mets and he’s already beaten the Tigers twice. He allowed a run in eight innings on May 20 at Comerica Park and he allowed two runs in seven innings at Progressive Field on June 12. In both, be battered the Tigers with his three fastballs, four-seamer, sinker and cutter. In the win at Cleveland, he got 12 whiffs on 39 swings with those three pitches. Interesting to see if the Tigers can make him adjust his attack plan.

:play_button: Anderson, Tigers: He was moved into the rotation in Seattle last week after the trades of Tarik Skubal and Casey Mize and he is still in the process of building his pitch count. He threw 42 pitches in 3⅔ scoreless innings on Wednesday. Getting to 60 pitches and five innings would be a good goal for this one. His stuff plays, though, regardless of role. He’s getting 35% whiff with his curveball and 37.6% whiff with his kick-change. But his 95-96 mph four-seamer doesn’t get enough credit for setting those two pitches up. Opponents are hitting .189 and slugging just .274 off his heater.

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# If you bailed on Tigers in July, you might want to check back in

If you cashed out on the Tigers after that brutal 10-9 loss to the Orioles, the one in which they led 7-0 in the seventh inning with Tarik Skubal on the mound, the one that seemed to doom the season, the one that pushed president Scott Harris to trade Skubal and Casey Mize — well, you might want to re-up.

A funny thing happened on the West Coast. The Tigers got hot.

They went 7-2 in their three-city trip through West Sacramento, Seattle and San Francisco. They left Detroit after that loss on July 29 six games back in the American League Central Division and four games back in the wild-card race.

And now, as they commence a six-game homestand against the Guardians and first-place White Sox, they sit in second place in the division, 3½ games back, and one game out of the final wild-card spot, with no teams between them and the Rangers.

“Every game feels like Game 7.”

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He foresaw what the new roster configuration would look like, with Jackson Jobe and Drew Anderson joining the rotation. And with rookies Max Clark, Eduardo Valencia and Hao-Yu Lee playing bigger roles.
“This team is talented enough to flip the script, just like in ’24," Harris said. "Did I make it a little harder (with the trades)? Yeah, I did. It may seem like a contradiction, but I don’t think that it is at all. We have to hold those two thoughts in our head, and we have to recognize what is actually happening on the field and the momentum we built coming out of Sacramento.
“Am I saying we’re definitely going to make the playoffs? No. But we’re not raising the white flag and we’re not giving up on the season.”

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The bullpen, much-maligned throughout the season, is tightening up, too. They didn’t allow a run in seven of the nine games on the trip, giving four in a loss in Seattle and four in a win in Sacramento.

… Hinch has had to lean on lefties Drew Sommers and Tyler Holton in late leverage situations to get the ball to Kenley Jansen.

Holton…has given up just four earned runs in 29 innings over his last 25 games, earning 16 holds. Sommers, who yielded six of the eight earned runs he’s allowed this season in two outings, has 29 strikeouts in 19⅓ innings.

And Jansen has been lights out since the start of July, allowing one run in 10⅓ innings with 14 strikeouts, two wins and four saves.

Of course, the stress level on the bullpen has been mitigated both by the starters going deeper into games and by the surging offense. The Tigers scored 66 runs in the nine games out west and their plus-87 run differential is best in the American League.

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The return of both Gleyber Torres and Javier Báez off the injured list, plus the infusion of everyday energy that Clark has provided, has changed how Hinch manages this lineup. At least until Kerry Carpenter (plantar fasciitis) and Matt Vierling (groin) get back, he’s mixing-and-matching less in-game.

More than at any point this season, Hinch is putting out a set lineup with Kevin McGonigle at third, Torres at second, Dillon Dingler catching or at designated hitter, Riley Greene in left, Clark in center, Colt Keith at third or designated hitter, Spencer Torkelson at first, Báez at shortstop and Zach McKinstry in right field.

Valencia and Lee are both being used in spot starts and later in games against left-handed pitchers.

Clark has been an igniter. Not only has he provided production out of the seven-hole in the lineup (.297/.381/.486 with an .867 OPS), he’s played outstanding defense in center field.

He and McKinstry, who has a 1.019 OPS in his last 12 games, have lengthened the lineup considerably.

==

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From the same article linked above.
Realize that 4 of the six losses, came in May. The other two in June, the timeline when Detroit was missing Carp and Torees, in May at least, and host of other injuries on top of that.

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But now come the Guardians who have lost seven of their last nine, including two out of three this past weekend to the White Sox in Chicago. They come to Comerica Park Tuesday tied with the Twins for third place in the division.

But they have won all six games this season against the Tigers, five of those six by two runs or fewer. And they will challenge this hot offense first with right-hander Tanner Bibee, who has already beaten the Tigers twice this season, and a pair of lefties, Foster Griffin (All-Star acquired from the Nationals) and Parker Messick.

The Tigers rank in the middle of the pack in the American League against lefties — eighth in average (.236), 10th in slug (.381) and eighth in OPS (.706).

“We’re playing good ball,” Dingler said. “The offense is coming around, the pitching’s been doing great, the bullpen has been doing really good. We’re playing like we know we can. We just have to keep on doing it.”

Three games against the Guardians, then three against the White Sox. Given the resiliency of this team, it’s hard to say any six-game stretch is make-or-break. But this one is pretty close.

4-2 here fellas and it’s a humdinger the last 6 weeks of the season, just like 24 and 25

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Win both next two series would be huge. But Cleveland is a pest.

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Playoff outlook.

White socks over 60% to win division.

So for the wild card.

Yankies and Redsocks are already over 95%

So last spot between

Texas or Houston (whoever doesnt win division) 30%

CLE 25%

MIN 25%

DET 20%

Its very very close.

But 26 of the tigers next 38 games are against playoff or playoff hopefuls

Gotta earn it.

With the offense humming right along it will be interesting to see what Hinch does when these 2 guys are ready to come back.
Most specifically Vierling, we know Carpenter goes back to RF, but what do you do with Vierling? You can’t take Clark out. With Baez back the infield is crowded and Baez can play CF when Clark needs a breather.

And you really have to play McKinstry

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Throw the %'s out the door
We are basically at a 45 game mini-season right now, all teams essentially tied (Rangers, Clev, Twin, Tigers).
It’s going to come down to who is playing the better ball the last 1/4 of the season.
Right now it’s the Tigers

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Most important series of the season by far to this point

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Indeed and the next one could get tge tigers in front of the white sox

■■■■ Cleveland.

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Harry Potter GIF

The only thing Vierling has going for him is that he’s right-handed.

If you consider right now both Clark and Baez as starters it leaves the bench as Valencia Keith McKinstry and Lee. So it’s 2 spots for Vierling-McKinstry-Lee. McKinstry is the only lefty bench bat, so Lee or Vierling.

Lee has hit better but can’t play OF. Vierling can, but can’t play middle infield.

Lee I’m sure has options and can come back up Sep1 as the 2 man expansion of the roster, which would also add a pitcher.

It’s unclear if Vierling has another option year left or not where he could be sent down and not exposed to the DFA process. He has two stents in the minors in his career after his initial call up of 19 or more games which seems to be more than just injury rehab.

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I support this 100 percent but avoid ■■■■■■■ the ladies. Guaranteed clap. And not the good clap. :joy:

https://x.com/MLBNetwork/status/2086915740485980262?s=20

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Mize is pitching tonight @ 9:40, home against Milwaukee.

Skubal is pitching tonight @ 10:10, home against KC

Tom And Jerry Popcorn GIF

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26 of 38 games? Wow, that’s 68%. That sounds like alot…

Until you realize that 24 out of 30 teams (80%) are in the playoffs or are playoff hopefuls.

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Another solid 5 innings for Skubal tonight. Considering he has pitched about 20% of the baseball he is going to pitch for the Dodgers already, I can say I am comfortable with the trade.

6 man rotation may take a little getting used to.