He’s still putting up good numbers with the decreasing velo, and he has good movement on basically all of his pitches. He’s just not a power pitcher, which is fine.
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You can’t argue with the numbers. I had him on my fantasy team and he was excellent. He even had a nice k rate for a guy who isn’t a power pitcher.
Every once in a while he throws a complete stinker but all pitchers do that.
Yea good pitcher. Kinda reminds me of Hyun Jin Ryu. Control Lefty with durability question marks.
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TheAthletic’s projections for FA
# What will Kyle Tucker, Bo Bichette, Dylan Cease and other MLB free agents make this offseason?
a few of them
Bo Bichette, 28
For Bichette, Willy Adames’ seven-year, $182 million deal with the Giants last winter is particularly helpful.
 Willy Adames |
2025 | 29 | 4.7 | 12.5 | 7 | 182.0 | 26.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Corey Seager |
2022 | 28 | 3.6 | 11.8 | 10 | 325.0 | 37.7 |
 Bo Bichette |
2026 | 28 | 3.8 | 8.0 |
While Adames’ overall production outstrips Bichette’s, the latter has been a better offensive player, and offense gets paid more than defense. (Furthermore, Adames’ once sturdy defensive value had plunged heading into free agency, to the point that he, like Bichette, now faces questions about his long-term future at short.) Bichette is also a year younger, which could mitigate some of his injury concerns. That’s where the comp to Seager comes in; Seager was a fellow shortstop who performed when healthy but missed plenty of time, and he was paid off his peak performance. Bichette won’t reach those heights, but he should be able to surpass Adames’ deal.
Projection: 8 years, $212 million
Alex Bregman, 32
Bregman turned down a reported six-year, $160 million deal with Detroit to sign a shorter-term deal in Boston, earning more than $32 million this past season and opting out to hit the market again ahead of his age-32 season. The bet on himself should pay off.
 Matt Chapman |
2025 | 32 | 5.4 | 12.3 | 6 | 150.0 | 25.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alex Bregman |
2026 | 32 | 3.5 | 12.1 | |||
 Kris Bryant |
2022 | 30 | 3.1 | 10.1 | 7 | 182.0 | 30.2 |
 Rafael Devers |
2023 | 27 | 4.9 | 12.9 | 10 | 291.5 | 31.8 |
As it stands, Bregman should land at least Chapman’s deal. That his WAR this past season was lower owes to a quad injury; he otherwise played to a five-win pace, and he’s not so injury-prone as to worry too much about his durability. Devers’ present-day AAV of almost $32 million is the ceiling here; Bregman didn’t quite reach that number on his pillow deal with the Red Sox. (With deferrals, the AAV for that three-year deal was $31.6 million.) Let’s split the difference between the AAVs of Chapman and Devers, landing at $28.5 million per season.
Projection: 6 years, $171 million
Ranger Suárez, 30
Every year I’ve done this, there’s one guy who stands out as a relatively unheralded player about to make a lot more than the casual fan expects. I think Suárez is about to join the likes of Brandon Nimmo and Willy Adames when he signs easily into nine figures.
The left-hander has been behind Wheeler, Aaron Nola and Cristopher Sánchez in the Philadelphia rotation. He’s made just one All-Star team and he’s never received a Cy Young vote, in part because he’s never qualified for the ERA title. But put his numbers up against other pitchers who sign for big money, and he’s comfortably aligned.
 Kevin Gausman |
2022 | 31 | 4.8 | 10.1 | 5 | 110.0 | 25.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zack Wheeler |
2020 | 30 | 4.7 | 9.1 | 5 | 118.0 | 29.7 |
 Ranger Suárez |
2026 | 30 | 4.0 | 9.9 | |||
 Max Fried |
2025 | 31 | 3.4 | 10.1 | 8 | 218.0 | 27.3 |
The deals for Gausman and Wheeler are arguably the two best signed for a starting pitcher in the last decade. And while Suárez generally misses some time during the season, no single injury has been catastrophic, and he’s always been healthy for October, where he’s pitched to a sparkling 1.48 ERA. Let’s update that Gausman deal and add a year.
Projection: 6 years, $153 million
If this list is close to accurate, you could get Diaz and Bichette for less than or close to what they are projecting Skubal to cost.
I’ve said forever that nothing is harder, glad to see science backing me up.
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Free agency starts at 5pm today.
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Hitting a baseball is just hand/eye coordination. It’s hard but when they start trying to hit with a pair of ice skates on come let me know.
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Been there done that, obviously you’ve forgotten seeing this in your youth…
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Edwin Diaz becomes a Tiger today!! (I am completely ■■■■■■■ delusional)
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Baseball free agency is weird compared to other leagues. Usually players sign immediately in the nfl for example, mlb players often takes weeks and weeks. Months even. Bregman didn’t sign last year for like 3 months.
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Haha exactly!
Embarrassing how Greene strikes out so much…doesn’t even wear skates
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If Ranger is 6/153, I’m out. Maybe he gets it maybe not. At that point I just save that money( basically Fkaherty’s salary plus Mize’s arby money) for Mize if he pitches well again this year or reliever run FA next year. Too long of a deal for me on a low IP/year guy.
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Savannah Bananas in Canada!
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This has 4 years $60M for Diaz. Yes please.
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Does MLB FA work at same pace as NFL? Or slower?
Said differently, will there be signing announced around league this evening?
It’s WAAAAY slower. I doubt anything of importance happens today.
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Slow, so Slow. Not as fun either
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